Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
We said: Marseille 2-1 Reims
Despite Wednesday's defeat in Greece, we expect Marseille to kick-start their Ligue 1 campaign with a narrow victory over Reims, who registered one of the worst away records in the French top flight last season.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.76% . A win for Reims had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%) . The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result Marseille Draw Reims 51.76% ( -0.01) 23.87% ( 0) 24.37% ( 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0)
53.46% ( -0) 46.53% ( 0)
31.19% ( -0) 68.81% ( 0)
82.02% ( -0.01) 17.98% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.17% ( -0.01) 48.82% ( 0.01)
66.75% ( 0.01) 33.25% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.14% ( 0.01) 69.86% ( -0.01)
Marseille 51.75%
Reims 24.37%
Draw 23.87%
Marseille Draw Reims 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.53% Total : 51.75% 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.87% 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.37%
How you voted: Marseille vs Reims
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rhs 2.0
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