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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
AJ Auxerre

Toulouse
1 - 1
Auxerre

Aboukhlal (44')
Spierings (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raveloson (24')
Jubal (2'), Massengo (18'), Abline (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-2 PSG
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 2-0 Auxerre

 In spite of their recent attacking failures, Toulouse's build-up play will be boosted greatly by the expected return of Van den Boomen, and Auxerre are not exactly the masters of keeping things tight at the back against the Coupe de France holders. Pelissier's side have rarely been blown away in 2023, though, and victory could secure survival for the visitors if results elsewhere go in their favour, but we cannot see any surprises being sprung against a sturdy Toulouse backline as the fight for survival goes right down to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
50.29% (-0.239 -0.24) 24.58% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.13% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.33000000000001 0.33)48.86% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.297 0.3)70.96% (-0.297 -0.3)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)19.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (0.051000000000002 0.05)51.29% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (0.40299999999999 0.4)33.86% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (0.433 0.43)70.53% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 50.29%
    Auxerre 25.13%
    Draw 24.57%
ToulouseDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Auxerre

Toulouse
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Auxerre
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
gameweek 18
Auxerre
0-5
Toulouse

Niang (43'), Mensah (55'), Jubal (88')
Chaibi (4'), Rouault (33'), Van den Boomen (41' pen.), Aboukhlal (75'), Dallinga (88')
Sylla (44')
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
gameweek 30
Auxerre
1-2
Toulouse
Dugimont (71')
Pellenard (42')
Charbonnier (38')
Van den Boomen (33' pen., 41')
Spierings (9')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Toulouse
6-0
Auxerre
Healey (4', 72'), Ratao (7', 46'), Mvoue (24'), Nicolaisen (84')
Genreau (44')

Dugimont (49')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Auxerre
3-1
Toulouse
Dugimont (4', 77'), N'Gando (42')
Bernard (90+2')
Healey (90+3' pen.)
Healey (80'), Machado (88')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Toulouse
3-1
Auxerre
Van den Boomen (69' pen.), Moreira (86'), Healey (90+3')
van den Boomen (43'), Moreira (90+2')
Le Bihan (58')
Sakhi (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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