Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Auxerre |
45.07% ( -0.25) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 29.17% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.9% ( 0.05) | 51.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.05% ( 0.04) | 72.95% ( -0.05) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.1) | 22.62% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.75% ( -0.14) | 56.25% ( 0.14) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% ( 0.2) | 31.87% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.69% ( 0.23) | 68.31% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 54 | 19 | 35 | 50 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 37 |
4 | Lille | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 35 |
5 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
6 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |