Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Brest had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Brest |
45.33% ( 0) | 26.24% ( 0) | 28.43% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.81% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% ( -0) | 53.36% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.09% ( -0) | 74.9% ( 0) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% ( 0) | 23.47% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.51% | 57.49% ( 0) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( -0) | 33.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% ( -0.01) | 70.26% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |