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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade de Gerland
AJ Auxerre

Lyon
2 - 1
Auxerre

Tete (29'), Toko Ekambi (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Autret (80')
Ruiz-Atil (57'), Perrin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre

Look for Lyon to be in a foul mood following a sub-par performance over the weekend, as we anticipate their overall quality will step up on Wednesday against one of the early surprises of the top-flight campaign. Auxerre have come a long way since losing their opening fixture, but they defend deep and rarely take chances going forward with fewer than 40% possession in three matches this season, and we do not believe they will be able to contain a Lyon side with so many attacking weapons over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
LyonDrawAuxerre
69.67% (0.148 0.15) 17.37% (-0.061 -0.06) 12.96% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (0.084999999999994 0.08)35.3% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.67% (0.097000000000001 0.1)57.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (0.055999999999997 0.06)9.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.06% (0.137 0.14)30.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)39.2% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.067 -0.07)75.91% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 69.66%
    Auxerre 12.96%
    Draw 17.37%
LyonDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.18% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12.96%

How you voted: Lyon vs Auxerre

Lyon
82.2%
Draw
13.3%
Auxerre
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2012 4pm
Nov 27, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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