Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Lens | 4 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Lyon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Lorient | 3 | 2 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Lille | 4 | -1 | 7 |
7 | Auxerre | 4 | -1 | 7 |
8 | Montpellier HSC | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
69.67% ( 0.15) | 17.37% ( -0.06) | 12.96% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.7% ( 0.08) | 35.3% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.67% ( 0.1) | 57.32% ( -0.1) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.89% ( 0.06) | 9.11% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.06% ( 0.14) | 30.93% ( -0.14) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.8% ( -0.07) | 39.2% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.09% ( -0.07) | 75.91% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Auxerre |
2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.66% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |