MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:06:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
Toulouse

Monaco
1 - 2
Toulouse

Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Monaco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Toulouse

Sitting outside the top five on goal difference, Monaco should strengthen their bid for European football with a relatively comfortable victory over Toulouse, who have nothing to play for on the final day of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawToulouse
44.89% (1.64 1.64) 24.56% (0.146 0.15) 30.55% (-1.782 -1.78)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-1.35 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-1.396 -1.4)45.26% (1.402 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-1.352 -1.35)67.6% (1.357 1.36)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (0.14800000000001 0.15)20.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (0.23 0.23)52.61% (-0.225 -0.23)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-1.823 -1.82)27.93% (1.829 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-2.389 -2.39)63.56% (2.396 2.4)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 44.89%
    Toulouse 30.55%
    Draw 24.56%
MonacoDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.162 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.569 0.57)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.484 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.274 0.27)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.115 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.333 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.294 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.55%

How you voted: Monaco vs Toulouse

Monaco
64.3%
Draw
23.8%
Toulouse
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Monaco
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
gameweek 16
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
Feb 2, 2019 7pm
gameweek 23
Monaco
2-1
Toulouse
Golovin (15'), Fabregas (62')
Ballo-Toure (9'), Jemerson (90')
Jullien (20')
Gradel (45'), Diakite (50'), Sylla (60')
Sep 15, 2018 7pm
gameweek 5
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Leya Iseka (79')
Amian (38'), Gradel (73')
Tielemans (57')
Jemerson (28'), Henrichs (48'), Diop (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!