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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Monaco

Lens
3 - 0
Monaco

Openda (9', 16'), Thomasson (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Maripan (22'), Ben Yedder (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Lens
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-2 Monaco

There is no doubt in our minds that Saturday's contest should live up to the billing, with Lens proving to be a near-unbreakable force at home while Monaco find the back of the net for fun on the road. Clement's defence is not the most watertight, though, and one year on from the sides playing out a 2-2 draw at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis, we can envisage an identical four-goal stalemate between two attack-minded outfits, as Haise's side retain their grip on third place for the time being. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawMonaco
41.93% (-0.473 -0.47) 25.34% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 32.73% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 55.76% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)70.07% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)22.74% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (-0.342 -0.34)56.41% (0.34 0.34)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.274 0.27)27.83% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.35100000000001 0.35)63.42% (-0.354 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lens 41.93%
    Monaco 32.73%
    Draw 25.34%
LensDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.09% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.73%

How you voted: Lens vs Monaco

Lens
53.1%
Draw
20.4%
Monaco
26.5%
49
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 4pm
gameweek 3
Monaco
1-4
Lens
Badiashile (41')
Embolo (40'), Vanderson (58'), Ben Yedder (68'), Clement (72')
Vanderson (72')
Openda (7'), Machado (38'), Fofana (55' pen.), Said (78')
May 21, 2022 8pm
gameweek 38
Lens
2-2
Monaco
Frankowski (30'), Ganago (90+5')
Danso (32'), Gradit (84')
Badiashile (34'), Ben Yedder (62')
Volland (84'), Tchouameni (86'), Henrique (88')
Jan 30, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Lens
2-4
Monaco
Said (45'), Kalimuendo (53')
Ben Yedder (18', 88'), Lucas (27'), Diop (29')
Golovin (72')
Aug 21, 2021 4pm
gameweek 3
Monaco
0-2
Lens

Kovac (57'), Pavlovic (83')
Golovin (86')
Ganago (51'), Banza (90+3')
Leca (61')
Doucoure (61')
May 23, 2021 8pm
gameweek 38
Lens
0-0
Monaco

Medina (74'), Clauss (82'), Cahuzac (82')

Volland (82'), Maripan (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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