Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
41.93% ( -0.47) | 25.34% ( 0.03) | 32.73% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( -0.01) | 47.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( -0) | 70.07% ( 0) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( -0.23) | 22.74% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( -0.34) | 56.41% ( 0.34) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.17% ( 0.27) | 27.83% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.58% ( 0.35) | 63.42% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |