Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
18.41% ( -0.06) | 21.45% ( -0.03) | 60.14% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.69% ( 0.03) | 43.31% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.3% ( 0.03) | 65.71% ( -0.03) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.05) | 37.2% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( -0.05) | 73.99% ( 0.05) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% ( 0.04) | 13.98% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.51% ( 0.08) | 41.49% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 18.41% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 60.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |