MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:13:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Reims
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
Troyes

Reims
4 - 0
Troyes

Munetsi (10'), Maolida (44'), Balogun (50'), Cajuste (82')
Flips (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Palmer-Brown (43'), Agoume (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Reims
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Troyes 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Reims 2-0 Troyes

Given how poor defensively Troyes have looked in recent games, having to contend with an in-form striker like Balogun is probably the last thing they need right now. Outside of Balogun, Reims have not been particularly sharp in the attacking third, but they look far more comfortable along the backline than ESTAC and should not have much difficulty containing that attacking line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
ReimsDrawTroyes
58.47% (-0.701 -0.7) 22.39% (0.192 0.19) 19.13% (0.506 0.51)
Both teams to score 52.21% (0.277 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)46.35% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-0.073 -0.07)68.63% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.259 -0.26)15.53% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (-0.481 -0.48)44.45% (0.478 0.48)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (0.513 0.51)38.18% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (0.492 0.49)74.94% (-0.49499999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Reims 58.46%
    Troyes 19.13%
    Draw 22.39%
ReimsDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.13%

How you voted: Reims vs Troyes

Reims
81.1%
Draw
8.1%
Troyes
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Troyes
2-2
Reims
Odobert (51'), Porozo (90')
Salmier (19')
Balogun (13'), Ito (54')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Troyes
1-0
Reims
Ripart (90+2')
Palmer-Brown (74')

Abdelhamid (9'), Matusiwa (35'), Busi (80')
Matusiwa (54')
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Reims
1-2
Troyes
Abdelhamid (6')
Flips (32'), Gravillon (44'), Matusiwa (86')
Gravillon (90+2')
Balde (41'), Chavalerin (65')
Kabore (9'), Gallon (76')
Apr 16, 2016 7pm
Troyes
2-1
Reims
Camus (50'), Nivet (61' pen.)
Thiago (65'), Saunier (87')
Bifouma (64')
Conte (30'), Carrasso (60'), Bifouma (87')
Dec 5, 2015 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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