Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
20.26% | 21.49% | 58.24% |
Both teams to score 57.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.27% | 40.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.89% | 63.11% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% | 33.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.58% | 70.42% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.28% | 13.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.02% | 40.97% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 5.43% 1-0 @ 5.03% 2-0 @ 2.73% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-3 @ 6.57% 0-3 @ 6.05% 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 3.26% 0-4 @ 3% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.27% Total : 58.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |