Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Nimes |
56.54% | 23.36% | 20.1% |
Both teams to score 50.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.92% | 49.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.84% | 71.16% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% | 17.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.59% | 47.4% |
Nimes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.28% | 38.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% | 75.46% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Nimes |
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.3% 1-2 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |