Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal3 - 1Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Betis 2-3 Villarreal
Sunday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Marseille (Marseille to win 5-2 on aggregate)
Villarreal tend to enjoy themselves in Europa League home matches, but while we think that they will do enough to claim a second-leg victory, we do not expect the Yellow Submarine to overturn the four-goal deficit from the first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Marseille |
41.23% ( 0.08) | 24.59% ( 0.01) | 34.18% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
