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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
2 - 0
Nantes

Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Villarreal
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Nantes

Enjoying a new lease of life under the expert tutelage of Gasset, Marseille will be confident of securing a third-straight Ligue 1 win on Sunday night. Nantes' survival aims took a hit against Metz last time out, and the Orange Velodrome is not an ideal location to bounce back with a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
67.47% (0.43599999999999 0.44) 19.1% (-0.149 -0.15) 13.43% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50.3% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.41% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.122 0.12)11.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.264 0.26)36.59% (-0.267 -0.27)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9% (-0.423 -0.42)43.09% (0.42100000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.63% (-0.357 -0.36)79.37% (0.35300000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 67.45%
    Nantes 13.43%
    Draw 19.1%
MarseilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 10.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.1%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 13.43%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
92.9%
Draw
5.4%
Nantes
1.8%
56
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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