Another reshuffle of the sporting staff is hardly helpful for a Marseille crop crying out for some sort of inspiration, which is unlikely to arrive in the shape of Gasset's short-term appointment, but the famed new manager bounce phenomenon could come to the fore either way.
Les Olympiens remain a tough nut to crack on their own patch and can be expected to at least force extra time against a Shakhtar squad still lacking competitive match practice, and should penalties be required to decide the teams' fate, the Orange Velodrome crowd could make all the difference.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
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