Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brighton1 - 0Marseille
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion secure top spot in Group B of the Europa League by beating Marseille thanks to a 88th-minute winner from Joao Pedro.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Marseille |
51.01% ( -0.01) | 22.92% ( 0) | 26.06% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
