Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Villarreal |
48.89% ( -0.05) | 23.76% ( 0) | 27.35% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.01% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.45% ( 0.02) | 43.55% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.06% ( 0.03) | 65.94% ( -0.03) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( -0.01) | 17.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.23% ( -0.02) | 48.77% ( 0.02) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( 0.05) | 29.3% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.73% ( 0.06) | 65.27% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.89% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 27.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |