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Ligue 1
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Toulouse

Le Havre
1 - 0
Toulouse

Operi (60')
Operi (84'), Ngoura (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Keben (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Nice
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Toulouse

 Barring their Europa League disappointment against Benfica last month, Toulouse are arguably in the best form we have seen all season and come into this match having beaten three of the top five sides in succession. Le Havre, on the other hand, have lost four on the bounce ahead of this match and we feel they are likely to suffer a fifth consecutive defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawToulouse
41.12% (0.202 0.2) 25.88% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 33% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.06% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (0.202 0.2)50.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (0.177 0.18)72.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.193 0.19)24.13% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (0.274 0.27)58.43% (-0.266 -0.27)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)64.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 41.12%
    Toulouse 33%
    Draw 25.88%
Le HavreDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.12%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Toulouse

Le Havre
29.2%
Draw
25.0%
Toulouse
45.8%
48
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Toulouse
1-2
Le Havre
Dallinga (49')
Costa (30'), Schmidt (45+4')
Bayo (83', 90+6')
Casimir (45+2'), N'Diaye (85')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Toulouse
4-0
Le Havre
Nicolaisen (23'), Onaiwu (27'), Van den Boomen (48' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Spierings (19'), Healey (71')

Lekhal (22'), Bonnet (47')
Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Le Havre
1-1
Toulouse
Cornette (67')
Lekhal (90+5')
Boutaib (62')
Onaiwu (34')
Rouault (13'), Onaiwu (51'), Nicolaisen (55'), Desler (60')
May 4, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 34
Le Havre
0-1
Toulouse

Bonnet (4'), Lekhal (69'), Boutaib (89')
Bonnet (60')
Kone (28')
van den Boomen (47'), Gabrielsen (70'), Spierings (77'), Dewaest (83')
Dec 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 16
Toulouse
4-3
Le Havre
Healey (2', 12'), Adli (31'), Spierings (90+8' pen.)
Amian (60'), Healey (81')
Bonnet (19'), Meras (50'), Alioui (83')
Gibaud (29'), Basque (56'), Meras (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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