MX23RW : Monday, September 16 20:29:50| >> :600:9102182:9102182:
Strasbourg
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Le Havre

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Le Havre

Bakwa (21'), Emegha (36'), Senaya (90')
Sissoko (31')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ayew (30')
Ayew (17'), N'Diaye (39')
Kuzyaev (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Strasbourg and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Le Havre (Strasbourg advance on penalties)

These sides are separated by a just single point in Ligue 1, with Strasbourg holding a slight edge in the top flight this season. We expect to see an even contest on Wednesday, but we are leaning towards the home side because of their consistent form lately and depth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLe Havre
40.07% (-0.055 -0.05) 26.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 33.44% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (0.013999999999996 0.01)52.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)25.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)60.72% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (0.045000000000002 0.05)29.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.054000000000002 0.05)65.73% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 40.07%
    Le Havre 33.44%
    Draw 26.48%
StrasbourgDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 33.44%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Le Havre

Strasbourg
64.9%
Draw
24.3%
Le Havre
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Strasbourg
2-1
Le Havre
Emegha (21'), Sylla (90+7')
Sissoko (26'), Perrin (40'), Delaine (73')
Salmier (49')
Salmier (27')
rhs 2.0
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