MX23RW : Saturday, March 15 22:45:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
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Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Freiburg logo

Mainz
2 - 2
Freiburg

Burkardt (34'), Hanche-Olsen (74')
Mwene (28')
Kohr (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gregoritsch (58'), Kubler (79')
Adamu (2'), Holer (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Mainz
Friday, March 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Freiburg

With both teams in strong form and defensively solid, a tight, low-scoring contest seems likely, and with five of their last seven meetings ending in stalemates, another draw appears the most probable outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Freiburg has a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Freiburg win it is 0-1 (8.43%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawFreiburg
49.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 26.42%23.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.38% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)39.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.45% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 49.94%
    Freiburg 23.64%
    Draw 26.42%
Mainz 05DrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 13.44%
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.85%
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.29%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 23.64%

How you voted: Mainz vs Freiburg

Mainz 05
Draw
Freiburg
Mainz 05
64.1%
Draw
30.8%
Freiburg
5.1%
39
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Freiburg
0-0
Mainz
Sildillia (90+2')
Jae-sung (44'), Bell (70')
Apr 21, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (6')
Kubler (31'), Hofler (42'), Holer (70')
Burkardt (40')
Jae-sung (35'), Krauss (62'), Caci (71'), van den Berg (85')
Dec 3, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Freiburg

Barreiro (29')
Gregoritsch (69')
Sallai (87')
Mar 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
1-1
Freiburg
Onisiwo (90+6')
Doan (55')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (3'), Kyereh (37')
Caricol (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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