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Bundesliga
Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Mainz logo

Heidenheim
0 - 2
Mainz


Pieringer (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burkardt (28'), Weiper (49')
Kohr (65'), Caci (71'), Amiri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Heidenheim
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Conference League

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 0-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 1-2 Mainz 05

 Heidenheim will feel they can regularly threaten Mainz's goal given the visitors have struggled on the road recently. However, the hosts are likely to be fatigued after their exploits in Europe on Thursday, and it would not be surprising if Mainz fought their way back into the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
37.61% (0.499 0.5) 25.25% (-0.044 -0.04) 37.14% (-0.451 -0.45)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.198 0.2)46.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.186 0.19)69.05% (-0.181 -0.18)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.361 0.36)24.45% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.502 0.5)58.89% (-0.499 -0.5)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.155 -0.16)24.71% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-0.219 -0.22)59.25% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 37.61%
    Mainz 05 37.14%
    Draw 25.24%
HeidenheimDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.14%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Mainz

Heidenheim
25.4%
Draw
28.6%
Mainz 05
46.0%
63
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Mainz
0-2
Heidenheim

Hanche-Olsen (6'), Jenz (49'), Kohr (61')
Hanche-Olsen (28')
Pieringer (15'), Schoppner (86')
Traore (48'), Mainka (49'), Gimber (56'), Pieringer (77')
Dorsch (80')
> Preview
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Heidenheim
1-1
Mainz
Kleindienst (65')
Gimber (35'), Kleindienst (76')
Burkardt (37')
Barreiro (27'), Burkardt (69'), Kohr (84')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
0-1
Heidenheim

Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26168259332656
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2610794743437
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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