Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.