Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
46.33% ( 0.14) | 24.58% ( 0.14) | 29.08% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.89% ( -0.78) | 46.11% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.59% ( -0.74) | 68.41% ( 0.73) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( -0.26) | 19.99% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( -0.41) | 52.17% ( 0.41) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( -0.59) | 29.37% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( -0.73) | 65.35% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 29.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |