MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 11:31:34| >> :600:293233:293233:
Nottingham Forest logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
Luton Town

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Luton

Yates (40'), Sosa (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Luton
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Luton Town

It will be fascinating to see whether Santo opts to go strong or rotate his resources for the visit of Luton, but regardless of what team Forest field, Luton should be heading home disappointed. The Hatters are in disarray on the field, and even if Trollope and Kyle can provide any sort of new manager bounce, the Premier League surprise package should enjoy safe passage into round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawLuton Town
44.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 25.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 30.39% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.052 0.05)49.48% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.52% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.89% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.069999999999993 0.07)30.17% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)66.32% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 44.09%
    Luton Town 30.39%
    Draw 25.51%
Nottingham ForestDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.09%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.39%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Luton

Nottingham Forest
92.4%
Luton Town
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Berry (89')
Kabore (30')
Wood (34')
Toffolo (84'), Sels (90')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nott'm Forest
2-2
Luton
Wood (48', 76')
Sangare (60'), Gibbs-White (82'), Murillo (90+8')
Ogbene (83'), Adebayo (90+2')
Apr 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Nott'm Forest
Naismith (37' pen.)
Bradley (26'), Naismith (49'), Onyedinma (56'), Burke (63'), Campbell (63'), Shea (69'), Adebayo (90+3')
Bradley (77')

Garner (44'), Davis (63'), Worrall (74'), Figueiredo (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nott'm Forest
0-0
Luton
Taylor (26'), Colback (47'), McKenna (55')
Colback (61')
Lockyer (45+1'), Ruddock (68'), Bradley (90+3')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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