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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Luton Town |
46.27% ( 1.04) | 25.68% ( -0.02) | 28.04% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% ( -0.47) | 51.36% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.82% ( -0.41) | 73.18% ( 0.41) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.82% ( 0.28) | 22.18% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.42% ( 0.42) | 55.58% ( -0.42) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -1.01) | 32.85% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -1.14) | 69.42% ( 1.14) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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