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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Luton Town

Blackburn
1 - 1
Luton

Carter (86')
Hyam (72'), Szmodics (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lockyer (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Luton Town

 Given the winless run that they have recently embarked on, responding with a win over one of the division's form sides will not be easy for Blackburn. Nevertheless, we are backing Rovers to earn a share of the spoils, the bare minimum as they bid to remain relevant in the promotion race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
24.24% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.02% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 47.74% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.91% (-0.123 -0.12)62.09% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.2% (-0.09 -0.09)81.8% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.99% (-0.193 -0.19)42.01% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (-0.169 -0.17)78.45% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)61.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 24.24%
    Luton Town 47.74%
    Draw 28.01%
Blackburn RoversDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 24.24%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 14.74% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.87% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 47.74%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Luton

Blackburn Rovers
30.9%
Draw
26.6%
Luton Town
42.6%
94
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Luton
2-0
Blackburn
Morris (58'), Burke (67')
Morris (41')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Luton
0-0
Blackburn

Bree (29'), Lockyer (47'), Cornick (90+6')

Paul van Hecke (28'), Kaminski (90+6')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Blackburn
2-2
Luton
Dolan (27'), Pickering (31')
Lenihan (8'), Dolan (48'), Brereton Diaz (49'), Gallagher (67')
Berry (73', 90+7')
Naismith (36'), Sluga (49'), Jerome (50'), Osho (59'), Lansbury (61')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Blackburn
1-0
Luton
Armstrong (85')
Travis (50')

Rea (63')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 12
Luton
1-1
Blackburn
Berry (69')
Gallagher (72')
Rothwell (32'), Johnson (71'), (78'), Brereton (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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