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AFC Wimbledon
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Bradford City
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
vs.
Crewe

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

While Crewe Alexandra enter this match with a much better record this season, Swindon Town have been very impressive at home since the arrival of Ian Holloway, and we feel that they will be able to take a share of the spoils from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Crewe Alexandra has a probability of 32.95% and a draw has a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.76%).

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
40.19% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.87% (0.183 0.18) 32.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.578 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (-0.733 -0.73)54.21% (0.739 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.617 -0.62)75.61% (0.62100000000001 0.62)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.416 -0.42)26.46% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.56 -0.56)61.64% (0.565 0.56)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.389 -0.39)30.81% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.462 -0.46)67.09% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.19%
    Crewe Alexandra 32.95%
    Draw 26.86%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.95%

Who will win Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon and Crewe?

Swindon Town
Draw
Crewe Alexandra
Swindon Town
35.3%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
0-0
Swindon
Demetriou (44'), Tabiner (51')
Cotterill (24')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
2-2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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