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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coral Windows Stadium
Swindon Town

Bradford
1 - 0
Swindon

Kavanagh (24')
Pointon (74'), Sarcevic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (7'), McGregor (68')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bradford City and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Bradford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Swindon
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawSwindon Town
51.4% (0.127 0.13) 23.46% (-0.029 -0.03) 25.14% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)44% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (0.037999999999997 0.04)66.39% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (0.061999999999998 0.06)17.16% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (0.111 0.11)47.41% (-0.114 -0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.24% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)67.59% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 51.4%
    Swindon Town 25.14%
    Draw 23.45%
Bradford CityDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-0
Bradford
Austin (17' pen.), Devoy (45+2')
Kokolo (45+4'), Khan (58')

Alexander (46'), Stubbs (49'), Smallwood (55')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bradford
1-0
Swindon
Pointon (50')
Walker (60'), Halliday (76'), Smallwood (89')

Khan (42'), Hutton (65'), Austin (76')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bradford
1-1
Swindon
Wright (31')
Jephcott (90+2')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Bradford
1-2
Swindon
Evans (18')
O'Connor (40')
McKirdy (21'), Payne (90+6' pen.)
Reed (57'), Iandolo (61'), McKirdy (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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