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Brentford logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Brentford
vs.
Plymouth

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Brentford
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We say: Brentford 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

Brentford will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top this weekend. Taking into account the hosts' impressive home form as well as Plymouth's leaky backline - the worst in the EFL that has conceded 53 goals - we can see the Bees securing safe passage through to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brentford win with a probability of 59.43%. A win for Plymouth Argyle has a probability of 20.7% and a draw has a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.61%) and 3-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win is 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.57%).

Result
BrentfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
59.43% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09) 19.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 20.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 63.86% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.7% (0.058999999999997 0.06)32.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.09% (0.07 0.07)53.91% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)10.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.31% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)34.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.10799999999999 0.11)28.46% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (0.13500000000001 0.14)64.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 59.43%
    Plymouth Argyle 20.7%
    Draw 19.87%
BrentfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.49% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 59.43%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 20.7%

Who will win Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and Plymouth?

Brentford
Draw
Plymouth Argyle
Brentford
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Plymouth Argyle
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 20, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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