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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
73.13% ( 0.27) | 16.48% ( -0.31) | 10.38% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.54% ( 1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.75% ( 1.61) | 38.25% ( -1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( 1.69) | 60.52% ( -1.69) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.93% ( 0.47) | 9.06% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.17% ( 1.12) | 30.83% ( -1.12) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.48% ( 1.16) | 45.52% ( -1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.65% ( 0.89) | 81.34% ( -0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.55) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.13) 6-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.05% Total : 73.13% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.48% | 0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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