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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Coventry City

Burnley
2 - 0
Coventry

Sarmiento (47'), Egan Riley (80')
Trafford (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bassette (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Coventry City

Given Burnley's resilience at home this term, it is difficult to see them losing on Tuesday at Turf Moor. However, the hosts have struggled for goals of late, and they come up against a Coventry side that have snatched valuable points against the division's best. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCoventry City
44% (-0.263 -0.26) 25.59% (-0.073 -0.07) 30.41% (0.334 0.33)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.405 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (0.449 0.45)49.79% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (0.398 0.4)71.8% (-0.401 -0.4)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (0.067000000000007 0.07)22.57% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (0.10100000000001 0.1)56.16% (-0.103 -0.1)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.462 0.46)30.31% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (0.55 0.55)66.49% (-0.551 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 44%
    Coventry City 30.41%
    Draw 25.58%
BurnleyDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.062 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.41%

How you voted: Burnley vs Coventry

Burnley
74.4%
Draw
16.3%
Coventry City
9.3%
43
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Burnley
1-0
Coventry
Beyer (82')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
0-1
Burnley
Tella (39')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Coventry
1-2
Burnley
McDonald (59')
Bell (58'), Murphy (87'), Wood (90')
Bigirimana (81')
Wallace (73')
Rodriguez (32'), Bartley (53'), Wallace (67'), Edgar (79')
Mar 15, 2011 3pm
Burnley
2-2
Coventry
Rodriguez (18', 79')
Carlisle (81'), Elliott (82')
Jutkiewicz (61'), McSheffrey (75')
O'Halloran (36'), Baker (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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