We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Wrexham
Winning just one of their last seven away matches across all competitions, promotion-chasing Wrexham are unlikely to cruise to victory at The Croud Meadow on Thursday night.
As shown by their antics against Birmingham in November, Ainsworth's Shrewsbury enjoy rising to the challenge of a top team, although we feel that they will fall short in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.