FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
Leyton Orient1 - 1Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Derby
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
31
We say: Leyton Orient 1-2 Derby County
Following a five-game winning streak in League One, Leyton Orient will not fear the arrival of Derby at Gaughan Group Stadium on Tuesday night. However, we feel that the Rams will have enough quality on the pitch and in reserve to squeeze into the fourth round at the expense of the in-form O's. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.47%).
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Derby County |
54.99% ( -0.2) | 25.25% ( 0.27) | 19.77% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 44.87% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( -1.02) | 56.66% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( -0.83) | 77.63% ( 0.83) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% ( -0.48) | 20.62% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.82% ( -0.77) | 53.18% ( 0.77) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.53% ( -0.67) | 43.47% ( 0.67) |