FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland1 - 2Stoke
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
24
We say: Sunderland 1-0 Stoke City
Stoke have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times, but we think that they may struggle to avoid defeat against a Sunderland side that has won four of their last five matches at the Stadium of Light. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.93%).
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
52.67% ( 0) | 24.33% ( -0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.75% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.25% ( 0.05) | 49.75% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.24% ( 0.05) | 71.76% ( -0.04) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( 0.02) | 18.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.71% ( 0.04) | 50.29% ( -0.03) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.77% ( 0.04) | 36.23% ( -0.04) |