MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 15:19:36| >> :600:998115:998115:
Sunderland
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
1 - 2
Stoke

Aleksic (64')
Rigg (23')
FT
(aet)
Cannon (4' pen.), Ennis (112')
Baker (63'), Moran (72'), Burger (93'), Tchamadeu (99')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We say: Sunderland 1-0 Stoke City

Stoke have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times, but we think that they may struggle to avoid defeat against a Sunderland side that has won four of their last five matches at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.93%).

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
52.67% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.055 0.05)49.75% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.048999999999999 0.05)71.76% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (0.036999999999999 0.04)50.29% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.041000000000004 0.04)36.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.038999999999998 0.04)73.01% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.67%
    Stoke City 23%
    Draw 24.32%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 23%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
83.3%
Stoke City
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stoke
1-0
Sunderland
Cannon (90+2')
Phillips (16'), Gooch (21'), Moran (27'), Johansson (43'), Cannon (90+3')

Cirkin (51'), Bellingham (71')
Dec 7, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sunderland
2-1
Stoke
Watson (7', 86')
Koumas (6')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
rhs 2.0
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