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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
3 - 1
Stoke

Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Stoke City

Given the reaction to the Hull defeat, Beale comes into this contest already facing widespread criticism. We feel that he will get back on track with a share of the spoils from this match, although that will not ease the pressure on his shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
37.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.48% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 37.22%
    Stoke City 37.78%
    Draw 25%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.02%
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.78%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
Draw
Stoke City
Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Stoke City
28.6%
21
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Burnley382115252114178
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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