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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Stoke logo

Rotherham
0 - 1
Stoke


Eaves (86'), Cafu (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baker (45+4')
Burger (78'), Pearson (90+4'), Thompson (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Stoke City

Rotherham have been a tough nut to crack at the New York Stadium this season, and we are expecting another resolute home display from the Millers as they scrap for survival. Stoke have been much improved since Schumacher replaced Neil last month, but we feel that the Potters will have to settle for a third-straight draw in the Championship this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 24.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 52.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.231 -0.23)50.59% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.207 -0.21)72.51% (0.211 0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)36.42% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)73.21% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.152 -0.15)19.4% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (-0.252 -0.25)51.21% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 23.3%
    Stoke City 52.09%
    Draw 24.6%
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 52.09%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Stoke

Rotherham United
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
Stoke City
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Stoke
6-1
Rotherham
Burger (2'), Mmaee (18'), Laurent (29', 55'), Campbell (43'), Leris (72')
Wilmot (47')
Morrison (22')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stoke
4-1
Rotherham
Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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