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Fulham logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 5, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
Rotherham logo

Fulham
1 - 0
Rotherham

Reid (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Rotherham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 2-0 Rotherham United

Fulham will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top, even if Silva decides to make several changes to his lineup, although they must not underestimate Rotherham who will look to frustrate the Cottagers and make themselves difficult to break down. Forcing a replay would be viewed as a positive for the Millers, but we believe that the hosts should have enough top-flight quality in their side to get the job done in front of the Craven Cottage faithful. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawRotherham United
66.51% (1.452 1.45) 19.07% (-0.716 -0.72) 14.41% (-0.731 -0.73)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.622 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (1.754 1.75)40.04% (-1.749 -1.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (1.791 1.79)62.4% (-1.786 -1.79)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (0.905 0.91)11.17% (-0.899 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.34% (1.943 1.94)35.66% (-1.937 -1.94)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.17% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.19% (0.088000000000001 0.09)76.81% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 66.52%
    Rotherham United 14.41%
    Draw 19.07%
FulhamDrawRotherham United
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.88% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.217 0.22)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.268 0.27)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.254 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.107 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.12 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 66.52%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.379 -0.38)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.07%
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.36%
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 14.41%

How you voted: Fulham vs Rotherham

Fulham
87.1%
Draw
8.6%
Rotherham United
4.3%
93
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Dec 13, 2016 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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