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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Sunderland

Rotherham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Clucas (48')
Nombe (65'), Cafu (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (73')
Bellingham (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 0-1 Sunderland

Rotherham rode their luck and then some against Middlesbrough, although credit where credit is due to the Millers' defensive diligence, and Sunderland did not exactly blow Hull away either. Another cruel injury blow to Dack was not on the Black Cats' bingo card either, and a goal-laden affair should be the last thing on the menu at the New York Stadium, but we still expect Beale to march to his second successive win and give Rotherham a harsh reality check. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
16.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 21.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 62.14% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.6% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.25% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 16.71%
    Sunderland 62.14%
    Draw 21.14%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.71%
1-1 @ 10.03%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 62.14%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Sunderland

Rotherham United
Draw
Sunderland
Rotherham United
15.2%
Draw
12.1%
Sunderland
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
2-1
Rotherham
Bellingham (22', 52')
Cirkin (10'), Bellingham (69')
Odofin (20')
Bramall (33')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Sunderland
3-0
Rotherham
Stewart (52', 65'), Clarke (70')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Sunderland
1-1
Rotherham
Ihiekwe (88' og.)
Matete (8')
Ihiekwe (17')
Rathbone (76')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Rotherham
5-1
Sunderland
Smith (10', 73'), Ladapo (41', 88'), Ihiekwe (53')
Smith (71')
Stewart (24')
O'Nien (38'), McGeady (46'), Evans (64')
McGeady (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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