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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Swansea logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Swansea

Nombe (64')
Ayala (12'), Rathbone (79'), Hall (86')
Ayala (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Patino (45'), Yates (73')
Darling (18'), Lowe (39'), Humphreys (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Swansea City

With their position in the fight for survival quickly worsening, Rotherham will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf on Saturday, but Swansea City boast more quality than their hosts, and both ticking over under temporary stewardship, we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawSwansea City
29.09% (0.26 0.26) 24.33% (0.093 0.09) 46.58% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.37% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.262 -0.26)44.98% (0.26199999999999 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.252 -0.25)67.33% (0.253 0.25)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)28.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.060000000000002 0.06)64.64% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.25 -0.25)19.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)51.27% (0.414 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 29.09%
    Swansea City 46.58%
    Draw 24.33%
Rotherham UnitedDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.043 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Swansea

Rotherham United
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Swansea City
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 34
Swansea
1-1
Rotherham
Piroe (42')
Ogbene (52')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Rotherham
1-1
Swansea
Ogbene (16')
Bramall (90+3')
Darling (38')
Sorinola (55'), Piroe (80')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Rotherham
1-3
Swansea
Ladapo (65')
Wood (35')
Hourihane (28'), Grimes (38'), Fulton (74')
Ayew (9')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
1-0
Rotherham
Grimes (28')
Bennett (32')

Barlaser (45+1')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-3
Rotherham
McBurnie (36', 79'), McKay (50'), Byers (69')
Ihiekwe (10'), Crooks (38'), Vaulks (83')
Ajayi (13')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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