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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Leeds logo

Rotherham
1 - 1
Leeds

Odofin (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-4 Leeds United

With this being a derby and one of their toughest fixtures on the calendar, Rotherham may play with a sense of freedom. Nevertheless, we expect Leeds to continue their recent resurgence, producing a ruthless performance to keep Leicester and Ipswich looking over their shoulder. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
26.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 23.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 49.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 57.58% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)43.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)29.87% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)48.68% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 26.85%
    Leeds United 49.4%
    Draw 23.75%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.4%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Leeds

Rotherham United
7.4%
Draw
11.8%
Leeds United
80.9%
68
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Ajayi (28')
Robertson (79')
Klich (51', 86')
Casilla (90'), Phillips (90')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leeds
2-0
Rotherham
Ayling (49'), Roofe (72')

Taylor (16')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-0
Rotherham
Bartley (47'), Wood (66', 79')
Jansson (57')

Mattock (53')
Nov 26, 2016 5.30pm
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Wood (87')
Odemwingie (29')
Wood (14'), Doukara (45')
O'Kane (54'), Green (93')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Rotherham
2-1
Leeds
Frecklington (27'), Halford (90' pen.)
Best (44')
Derbyshire (61')
Murphy (79')
Bridcutt (57'), Bellusci (68')
Silvestri (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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9.25pm
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Bills
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Titans
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Colts
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Giants
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Rams
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9.05pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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