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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Ipswich
3 - 2
Swansea

Taylor (17'), Chaplin (22'), Hirst (53' pen.)
Chaplin (26'), Scarlett (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fulton (7'), Lowe (90+5')
Cullen (26'), Duff (27'), Walsh (86')
Cullen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Swansea City

 With Ipswich enduring their first major blip of the campaign, Swansea will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Portman Road. However, Ipswich will be motivated to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a maximum haul for McKenna's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
44.28% (0.277 0.28) 23.12% (0.153 0.15) 32.6% (-0.431 -0.43)
Both teams to score 63.64% (-0.76500000000001 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.927 -0.93)37.58% (0.927 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-1.002 -1)59.81% (1.001 1)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.261 -0.26)17.42% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (-0.457 -0.46)47.87% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.68199999999999 -0.68)22.94% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (-1.014 -1.01)56.71% (1.012 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 44.28%
    Swansea City 32.6%
    Draw 23.12%
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.251 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Swansea

Ipswich Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Swansea City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Ipswich
0-1
Swansea

Nsiala (29'), Bree (61')
Routledge (57')
Byers (16'), Fulton (20'), Dyer (90')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
2-3
Ipswich
Donacien (9' og.), Celina (79')
Rodon (88')
Edwards (27'), Van der Hoorn (31' og.), Chalobah (84')
Dozzell (68'), Chalobah (81')
Apr 25, 2011 3pm
Swansea
4-1
Ipswich
Moore (14'), Borini (9', 30'), Sinclair (71' pen.)
Dyer (45')
Healy (20')
Delaney (39'), Norris (84')
Dec 4, 2010 3pm
Ipswich
1-3
Swansea
Townsend (50')
O'Dea (41')
Allen (70'), Beattie (64', 86')
Rangel (60')
Mar 27, 2010 3pm
Swansea
0-0
Ipswich
Pratley (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
> Championship Full Table


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