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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Ipswich
3 - 2
Swansea

Taylor (17'), Chaplin (22'), Hirst (53' pen.)
Chaplin (26'), Scarlett (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fulton (7'), Lowe (90+5')
Cullen (26'), Duff (27'), Walsh (86')
Cullen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Swansea City

With Ipswich enduring their first major blip of the campaign, Swansea will fancy their chances of causing a surprise at Portman Road. However, Ipswich will be motivated to return to winning ways in front of their own supporters, leading us to predict a maximum haul for McKenna's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
44.28% (0.277 0.28) 23.12% (0.153 0.15) 32.6% (-0.431 -0.43)
Both teams to score 63.64% (-0.76500000000001 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.927 -0.93)37.58% (0.927 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-1.002 -1)59.81% (1.001 1)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.58% (-0.261 -0.26)17.42% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13% (-0.457 -0.46)47.87% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.68199999999999 -0.68)22.94% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (-1.014 -1.01)56.71% (1.012 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 44.28%
    Swansea City 32.6%
    Draw 23.12%
Ipswich TownDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.251 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Swansea

Ipswich Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Swansea City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Ipswich
0-1
Swansea

Nsiala (29'), Bree (61')
Routledge (57')
Byers (16'), Fulton (20'), Dyer (90')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
2-3
Ipswich
Donacien (9' og.), Celina (79')
Rodon (88')
Edwards (27'), Van der Hoorn (31' og.), Chalobah (84')
Dozzell (68'), Chalobah (81')
Apr 25, 2011 3pm
Swansea
4-1
Ipswich
Moore (14'), Borini (9', 30'), Sinclair (71' pen.)
Dyer (45')
Healy (20')
Delaney (39'), Norris (84')
Dec 4, 2010 3pm
Ipswich
1-3
Swansea
Townsend (50')
O'Dea (41')
Allen (70'), Beattie (64', 86')
Rangel (60')
Mar 27, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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