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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
39.55% ( -0.3) | 23.7% ( 0.05) | 36.75% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 62.57% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.58% ( -0.21) | 39.41% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.24% ( -0.23) | 61.75% ( 0.22) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.78% ( -0.23) | 20.22% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.46% ( -0.37) | 52.53% ( 0.37) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.43% ( 0.03) | 21.57% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.34% ( 0.05) | 54.65% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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