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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
1 - 0
Leeds

Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United are full of momentum under Daniel Farke and will be keen to avoid any more slip-ups in their pursuit of a top-two place, but a trip to the Stadium of Light is no easy task, and we fancy a rejuvenated Black Cats side to take a share of the spoils in Tuesday's top-six clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
39.55% (-0.299 -0.3) 23.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 36.75% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 62.57% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)39.41% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (-0.225 -0.23)61.75% (0.223 0.22)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.229 -0.23)20.22% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.37 -0.37)52.53% (0.369 0.37)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.57% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.045000000000002 0.05)54.65% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 39.55%
    Leeds United 36.75%
    Draw 23.7%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
22.2%
Draw
17.5%
Leeds United
60.3%
63
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Leeds
0-3
Sunderland

Westlake (16'), Butler (21'), Nicholls (73'), Kelly (90'), Douglas (90')
Miller (28'), Kavanagh (45')
Kavanagh (7'), Miller (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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