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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Middlesbrough logo

Leeds
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Middlesbrough

Many will argue that these are two of the best teams in the Championship and we are not going to argue. It leads us to predict a thrilling encounter, one which may go back and forth before they settle on a share of the spoils, a result that would suit neither team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
42.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.47% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)38.87% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)61.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)18.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)49.81% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.66% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.78%
    Middlesbrough 33.75%
    Draw 23.46%
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-1
Leeds
Wing (47')
Saville (59'), Howson (98')
Phillips (101')
Jansson (103')
Aug 31, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-0
Middlesbrough
Saiz (34'), Douglas (53'), Berardi (73'), Cooper (78')
Besic (55'), Clayton (62'), Ayala (80'), Flint (90')
Mar 2, 2018 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
3-0
Leeds
Bamford (31', 36', 68')
Leadbitter (34')

Saiz (34'), Anita (41'), Cooper (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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