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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Sunderland

Ipswich
2 - 1
Sunderland

Jackson (33'), Chaplin (75')
Clarke (24'), Taylor (52'), Edmundson (54'), Burns (60'), Sarmiento (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (26')
Ba (55'), Hume (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Ipswich
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Sunderland

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, January 6 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland

 Sunderland showed against Newcastle that they are far from the finished article under Beale and this is a fixture that they could probably do without after such a humbling. Despite Ipswich's recent form, the home side could have enough about them to get over the line in this one, kick-starting their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
43.17% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06) 23.69% (-0.035 -0.04) 33.14% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.211 0.21)40.16% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.217 0.22)62.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.064999999999998 0.06)18.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (0.102 0.1)50.42% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.158 0.16)23.86% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.222 0.22)58.04% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 43.17%
    Sunderland 33.14%
    Draw 23.68%
Ipswich TownDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.17%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Sunderland

Ipswich Town
69.6%
Draw
10.9%
Sunderland
19.6%
46
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 1
Sunderland
1-2
Ipswich
Neill (86')
Mowbray (0'), Hume (32'), Ballard (80')
Hume (72')
Broadhead (45+1'), Hirst (53')
McKenna (33'), Burns (35'), Hladky (56'), Morsy (62')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
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1-1
Sunderland
Norwood (45+1')
Burns (68')
Broadhead (50')
Winchester (52'), Flanagan (60'), Stewart (62')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Sunderland
2-0
Ipswich
O'Nien (85'), McGeady (90+3' pen.)
Evans (20'), Gooch (34'), Stewart (64'), Winchester (81')

Celina (55')
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
0-1
Sunderland

Ward (70'), Dozzell (82')
Jackson (10')
Wyke (45+1')
Winchester (40')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 11
Sunderland
2-1
Ipswich
Wyke (8'), Leadbitter (84' pen.)
Leadbitter (78'), Hume (82')
Lankester (38')
McGuinness (84')
Dozzell (72')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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