We said: Besiktas 1-1 Alanyaspor
It is a tricky tie for Besiktas, who saw their stock drop further after the loss to bottom-placed Adana, despite the victory over Fenerbahce in the previous week.
Given Alanyaspor's resurgence under Ugurlu, we believe that the visitors currently have enough to pick up a positive result in this clash, which is why we are predicting a stalemate.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.