Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.