Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
41.27% ( -0.1) | 24.41% ( -0.06) | 34.32% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.74% ( 0.34) | 43.26% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.34% ( 0.33) | 65.65% ( -0.33) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.94% ( 0.1) | 21.06% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.13% ( 0.15) | 53.87% ( -0.15) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( 0.25) | 24.64% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.84% ( 0.35) | 59.16% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |