Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
42.08% ( -0.69) | 25.63% ( 0.4) | 32.29% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 54.63% ( -1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.7% ( -1.64) | 49.3% ( 1.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% ( -1.5) | 71.35% ( 1.5) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -1.04) | 23.28% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -1.54) | 57.21% ( 1.54) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( -0.63) | 28.8% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% ( -0.79) | 64.65% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |