Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
25.38% ( 1.1) | 23.42% ( 0.27) | 51.2% ( -1.37) |
Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( -0.18) | 43.63% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% ( -0.17) | 66.02% ( 0.17) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( 0.8) | 30.85% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.86% ( 0.93) | 67.13% ( -0.93) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% ( -0.56) | 17.1% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.69% ( -1) | 47.3% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.9% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |