Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
42.53% ( -0.09) | 23.62% ( 0.22) | 33.85% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 62.24% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.4% ( -1.1) | 39.6% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.05% ( -1.15) | 61.95% ( 1.15) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( -0.49) | 18.96% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% ( -0.82) | 50.5% ( 0.82) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -0.58) | 23.19% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( -0.86) | 57.08% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 42.53% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |