Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
51.22% ( 0.08) | 21.95% ( -0.02) | 26.84% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 64.04% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.59% ( 0.07) | 35.41% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.56% ( 0.07) | 57.44% ( -0.07) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.88% ( 0.05) | 14.12% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.24% ( 0.1) | 41.77% ( -0.09) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% ( -0) | 25.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% ( -0) | 60.25% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |